t
Tempo
Data
Prediction
Decision
Proof
Timing
01 · Data
Elexon BMRS
Decision
Prices
APX index · every 30 min
Wind forecast
WINDFOR · 3 days ahead
Demand forecast
NDF · national demand
+3 more
mix · demand · system price
stored, not in the model
6 datasets since Oct 2024 · 3 feed the model
Tiger
hypertables
3,327,003 rows · 78% compressed
35,076
half-hours
→
732
days
→
105
weeks
continuous aggregates · update themselves
17 features
point-in-time
nothing from later
LightGBM
p10 · p50 · p90
trains in 92 s
Optimiser
battery limits
losses + wear
Trade
371 charge / sell
Hold
973 on purpose
1,344 live decisions
0 / 7 · press →